Federal statistics project that by 2028, enrollment in K-12 public schools will reach 51,418,700.
"Projection of Education Statistics to 2028" from the National Center for Education Statistics predicts that by 2028, California will continue to have the most students—more than 6.1 million. But Texas is closing the gap; it is projected to have more than 5.8 million students in 2028.
From 2016 to 2028, public school enrollment in Texas is projected to increase by 9.3%. In California enrollment over those 12 years is projected to decline by 2.7%
State Projected 2028 K-12 enrollment
California 6,137,800
Texas 5,861,300
Florida 3,119,600
New York 2,649,700
Illinois 1,894,300
Georgia 1,814,200
Pennsylvania 1,698,600
Ohio 1,637,400
North Carolina 1,612,600
Michigan 1,400,700
